11-18-23, 04:38 PM

From HERE

Time series, i.e., a series where time is the independent variable and something else is the dependent variable, that is, temperature, will only ever provide a correlation unless time is part of the functional relationship between the two. That is why Andy uses the term correlation so often. It is not physical evidence.

Linear regression was originally used to validate the functional relationship between an actual independent variable in an equation and a dependent variable which is the output of the functional mathematical relationship. In other words, does the equation accurately predict the relationship between input and output.

Once one has recognized a correlation, then one can postulate a hypothesis. Further correlation proves nothing. Only a physical connection can prove the hypothesis works to predict an outcome. Climate science has spent 50 years and billions of dollars trying to show better and better correlation as if that will prove something. It won’t.

Time series, i.e., a series where time is the independent variable and something else is the dependent variable, that is, temperature, will only ever provide a correlation unless time is part of the functional relationship between the two. That is why Andy uses the term correlation so often. It is not physical evidence.

Linear regression was originally used to validate the functional relationship between an actual independent variable in an equation and a dependent variable which is the output of the functional mathematical relationship. In other words, does the equation accurately predict the relationship between input and output.

Once one has recognized a correlation, then one can postulate a hypothesis. Further correlation proves nothing. Only a physical connection can prove the hypothesis works to predict an outcome. Climate science has spent 50 years and billions of dollars trying to show better and better correlation as if that will prove something. It won’t.

“A theory that is not refutable by any conceivable event is non-scientific.” – Karl Popper

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